
Great Depression Online
Long Beach, CA
July 24, 2009
Inside This Issue You Will Discover…
*** Becoming Wealthier, Smarter, and Younger
*** The Next Bubble
*** An Ominous and Profound Symbol of Things to Come
*** And More
Becoming Wealthier, Smarter, and Younger
There’s nothing like an inflating market bubble to soften
the brains and warm the hearts of men to ideas that would otherwise
be impossible. There’s no time to think, you see, when you can
get something for nothing…when the Holy Grail is within reach…
Who didn’t like to check their stock portfolio back in the
late 1990s each day and see that – once again – it had gone up?
And why wouldn’t it have gone up…it was a New Era.
The internet was making us all rich.
Mutual fund investors fancied themselves as Warren Buffett
protégés. With each inflated quarterly statement they felt
wealthier, smarter, and younger too.
~~~~~~“The Fleecing of
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And during the recent housing bubble just by living in a
house…you became rich. For house prices always go up.
Everyman was Donald Trump. It was a marvelous time to be
alive. The smartest among us knew just exactly how to parlay
it…
They cashed out their home equity and ‘put it to work’ in
the stock market. What could possibly go wrong?
The Next Bubble
How things have changed. The stock market, after all,
turned out to not be as advertised. And the millionaire next
door just had his house foreclosed on.
What’s more, in the midst of the worst economic crisis
since the Great Depression, the President throws like a girl and
wears mom jeans. Not only that, he’s hard at work inflating
the next bubble. In fact, the next bubble may already be here…
‘“The
He was commenting on the next bubble, which, according to
Faber, “is already here.”
“This time it’s government spending and fiscal deficits….”
To consider government spending a bubble is a clever
insight to say the least. Yet why shouldn’t government
spending be considered a bubble?
Like other manias, the government’s obsession with
expanding fiscal deficits has reached bubble territory. Just
this year, they’re spending $1.8 trillion of future tax payer
revenues…four times last year’s record deficit. And like other
bubble’s it can only expand for so long before it must contract.
In this instance, the government will only be able to
increase fiscal deficits until inflation takes hold and interest
payments spike up.
An Ominous and Profound Symbol of Things to Come
While government spending is increasing, the Federal
Reserve is trying to stimulate the economy by lending out money to
the big banks for practically free. The Federal Reserve wants
the banks to lend out this cheap money to businesses, home buyers,
and whoever else.
So far the banks, after being devastated by wave after wave
of bankruptcies and defaults, are actually doing their job…they’re
considering the borrowers future ability to repay a loan. And
when the banks gaze out into the current economic landscape, they
see more unemployment, bankruptcy, and default. Thus they hold
the Federal Reserve’s cheap money back from the real economy.
Yet even if the money does eventually make it into the real
economy, we presume it won’t flow entirely back into the housing or
jobs market like the government would like. Rather, it may
inflate food, energy, and essential living items…inflicting misery
on all who live paycheck to paycheck.
Or, as can happen to over indebted economies with dwindling
asset values, the money could get sucked into the vortex of
deflation…where government deficits continue to expand, causing the
Federal Reserve to print money to buy government debt. In this
instance, which we seem to be tail spinning into more by the day, we
could be in for a long nauseating economic slog…
For example, in 1992, following
Sincerely,
M.N. Gordon
Great Depression Online
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