
Great Depression Online
Long Beach, CA
March 18, 2008
Inside This Issue You Will Discover…
*** Eight Single Syllable Words
*** Pandora’s Box
*** Disorderly Disfunctioning
*** And More
Eight Single Syllable Words
“In the long run we are all dead.” – John Maynard Keynes
With those eight single syllable words John Maynard Keynes
provided the rationale for direct government intervention in the
economy.
The idea seemed a bit counterintuitive. Namely, that during
a period of economic stagnation the government should not save
money; rather it should spend it.
Keynes believed that long term economic progress would improve.
In fact, in 1930, at the onset of the Great Depression, he
“…predict[ed] that the standard of life in progressive countries one
hundred years hence [would] be between four and eight times as high
as today.”
But in the short run, he argued, the economy needed a little help
from the government to stimulate demand. By using public
expenditures to pump money into the economy – Keynes theorized –
unemployment would go down, and the boom and bust cycle could be
avoided.
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He illustrated his method for stimulating a depressed economy as
follows…
“If the Treasury were to fill old bottles with bank notes, bury
them at suitable depths in disused coal mines which are then filled
up with town rubbish, and leave them to private enterprise on the
well-tried principles of laissez faire to dig them up again… there
need be no more unemployment and, with the help of the
repercussions, the real income of the community and its capital
wealth also would probably become a great deal greater than it
actually is…”
In short, when people run out of money to spend, the government
should just give it to them so that they can keep spending.
Pandora’s Box
The academics loved the idea. And the politicians loved it
even more. Now every crackpot, half-backed scheme to improve
the world could be attempted with the passion of fraternity beer
guzzling contest.
Where the money would come from was just a pesky technicality.
To Keynes credit, he did add that during times of economic
prosperity, the government should reduce spending. But no one
seemed to hear that part. And even if they did, it was too
late…once Pandora’s Box had been opened the wants of man were too
great for it to be closed.
The gift of government spending – first given by Keynes – is the
order of the day. The U.S. National Debt has exceeded $9.4
trillion. And it’s currently increasing at an average of $1.7
billion per day.
The Keynesian long run utopia of prosperity for all without
serious fluctuations has produced the most colossal debt bubble the
world has ever seen. But not to worry…Vice President Dick Cheney
told Paul O’Neil, when he was the Treasury Secretary, “…that
deficits don’t matter.”
Disorderly Disfunctioning
Oil’s pushed above $100 per barrel. Gold’s pushed above
$1,000 per ounce. And the
True to Keynesian ideology, Forbes reported on Friday March 14th
that…
“The Fed has…announced it is ‘monitoring market developments
closely’ and will ‘continue to provide liquidity as necessary to
promote the orderly functioning of the financial system’.”
This announcement came just after word that, if not for the
coordinated efforts by the Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase & Co
to bail them out, Bear Stearns investment bank would have gone belly
up.
Then in a surprise announcement on Sunday, as reported by AP
Economics Writer Jeannine Aversa…
“The central bank approved a cut to its lending rate to financial
institutions to 3.25 percent from 3.50 percent, effective
immediately, and created another lending facility for big investment
banks to secure short-term loans.
“The steps are ‘“designed to bolster market liquidity and promote
orderly market functioning,”’ the Fed said in a statement.”
In a world radiating in hyperbole, ‘orderly functioning’ is a
glorious understatement. We find disorderly disfunctioning to
be more accurate.
Sincerely,
M.N. Gordon
Great Depression Online
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