
Great Depression Online
Long Beach, CA
July 20, 2010
Inside This Issue You Will Discover…
*** What’s a Mule?
*** Who Are We Schlepping For?
*** Government Mules
*** And More
What’s a Mule?
A mule is a curious animal. It’s the offspring of a
male donkey and a female horse. That they even exist is a
wonder. For horses and donkeys are different species, having
different numbers of chromosomes.
Nonetheless, the crossing of a male donkey and a female
horse results in a highly productive creature…
Mules are more patient, sure-footed, hardy and long-lived
than horses. Yet they are less obstinate, faster, and more
intelligent than donkeys. In other words, the mule is the
perfect work animal.
Who Are We Schlepping For?
Schlepping, schlubbing, and slogging along…day in and day
out, earning a living. We do it. You do it. It’s a
fact of life. But we wouldn’t have it any other way…
You see, handouts, freebees, and assistance are less a
blessing than a burden. For they handicap the recipient like a
glazed donut handicaps a fat guy’s waist line. What we mean is
we prefer independence over dependence…and a life of schlepping over
a life on the dole.
At the same time we like to know just who it is we are
schlepping for. Providing our family with life’s necessities –
and some extra creature comforts – is obvious. But, when it
comes down to it, are we really just government mules?
To answer this question, and many others, we leave you in
the fine company of our friend David Galland, of Casey Research.
Enjoy,
M.N. Gordon
Great Depression Online
---
Government Mules
By David Galland, Managing Director,
Casey Research
Watching my children grow older, now heading into
the treacherous shoals of the teenage years, has been a visceral
reminder of how the human mind develops. As young
children, we see the world with fresh eyes and wonderment, and then
quickly begin testing the physical and societal bounds as part of
morphing into our more mature selves.
As we age into our teens and beyond, the testing
of boundaries evolves into a series of calculations. If
I do “A,” we wonder, will it lead to “B” or maybe “Z”?
From a young age, most of us are told to advance
our education and otherwise better ourselves so that we will be able
to find a good job, or a succession of good jobs, that will provide
sustenance and security lasting most of a lifetime before retiring
to dawdle about in our golden years.
At least that is the modern view of life pursued
by the vast majority of the citizenry in the developed world.
~~~~~~Going Global~~~~~~
Due to rampant debt growth and falling tax receipts, the
The
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
But having spent some time in rural Argentina
recently – where it seems to me that most people spend more time
living and less time planning to live – I have had some time to
ponder the assumptions embedded in this view.
What if, I wonder, the whole modern construct of
what passes for making the right moves in an advanced society is
plain wrong?
Is the goal of working hard to get a good job and
then moving up the corporate ladder really so desirable? Is
marrying and having 2.5 kids and growing old in a glorified box in
the burbs really so wonderful?
I asked someone who knows what percentage of
their income – which is to say the income of a reasonably successful
person – now goes to taxes, and the answer was, “Over 60%.”
What if the modern version of society is really
nothing more than a sleight of hand designed to fool the masses into
becoming little more than government mules, allowed their simple
pleasures in exchange for providing the muscle and the money needed
to feed the beast?
An increasing number of the mules seem to me to
have become disheartened at the difficulty of creating and keeping
enough wealth to live the life envisioned in youthful dreams. And
correctly so: building lasting wealth is relatively easy when you
keep 90%, but nearly impossible when you keep just 40%. And,
if the trend now in motion continues in motion, the productive
elements will soon be lucky to keep 30%.
While even I can’t foresee things getting as bad
as they did in Britain in 1974, when the top 750,000 wage earners
were slapped with a tax rate of 98%, the steady build toward more
regulations, more government, more tariffs, and more taxes in more
sectors of the economy will affect a broader swath of the public
and, in so doing, weigh even more heavily on the nation.
And it will result in much the same thing
experienced by the British at the time – a mass expatriation by the
more independent-minded and entrepreneurial types.
(While the audience obviously skews toward the
idea of expatriation, it is interesting that a just concluded
International Living survey found that some 96% of
respondents were now actively considering expatriation.)
But I drift like a pick-up truck going too fast
around a rain-slicked corner.
The modern version of the world, at least to my
eyes, appears to be losing credence with an increasing number of
Americans. Simply, the material well-being and little
extras that we the people have previously dreamed of are now
unaffordable for most – especially now that a willingness to take on
an excess of debt is no longer being readily confused with net
worth.
For the government, with its switch long rusted
on expansion mode, the promises of a better tomorrow must be
preserved, if only as an inspirational illusion. Yet,
with the hard reality of a collapsing Camelot obvious for all to
see, the administration and Congress are now discomforted by the
loud chorus of mules braying for more and better fodder. And
increasingly by the voices of others, the workers in this economy,
who are beginning to chafe in the traces.
Attempting to maintain societal status quo, the
government is pursuing fiscal and monetary policies that are
anything but status quo, including running trillion-dollar deficits
as far as the eye can see. But maintaining the status
quo is only going to get harder. Social Security, a
time bomb planted by FDR, will run a deficit this year, as opposed
to 2017 as recently believed. The deficit is no
surprise to anyone, but the accelerating pace of the nation’s fiscal
ruin very much should be.
I was in grade school when John F. Kennedy
delivered his signature line, “Ask not what your country can do for
you, but rather what you can do for your country.”
In today’s paradigm, millions of Americans demand
that the country do more for them than they are willing or able to
do for themselves, for many in no small part because they have
already been asked to give up so much. At the same
time, the government is making increasingly muscular demands that
those still able to give, give more.
On both sides of the equation, the government
looms large – as you would expect it to in a world where public
institutions have become the controlling force in virtually all
aspects of life.
But the paradigm is broken, in no small part
because a long succession of U.S. governments have habitually made
politically easy or expedient choices – in the process squandering
the wealth of generations and setting the stage for a serious
confrontation between the government mules that have and those that
have naught.
Of course, I hope for the best as the country
goes through the paradigm shift to whatever’s coming next. Yet,
because no one can say what the new paradigm will look like – and a
lot less or a lot more government are both equally likely – I am
simultaneously planning for the worst, including buying hard assets
and diversifying internationally.
To fail to do so would be to passively accept the
life of a government mule.
Sincerely,
David Galland, Managing Director
The Casey Report
P.S. As David said, diversifying internationally is one of the most critical things to do right now, for any savvy investor. Discover the 5 best ways of “going global” in our new report.
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