
Great Depression Online
Long Beach, CA
May 09, 2008
Inside This Issue You Will Discover…
*** Joe Blow Says to John Doe
*** The Silence of Your Inner Chi
*** Endless Money Finite Natural Resources
*** And More
Joe Blow Says to John Doe
Joe Blow says to John Doe circa 1999:
“My broker just got me into the new IPO for WhizBang.com.
They’re a ‘New Era’ business from
A still ingenious Joe Blow to John Doe in late fall 2005:
“I just pulled equity out of my house and put it down on two spec
condos in
The Silence of Your Inner Chi
Way back in the year 1998, when oil prices were just $12 per
barrel, we never would have guessed that prices would rocket
1,000-percent within a decade. But that’s what has happened.
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
So with oil prices now persisting north of $120 per barrel we
must pause, and ask… What gives?
We’ve read and heard all about the usual suspects: OPEC, big oil,
Then there are the greedy speculators who are bidding up the
price of oil on the futures market, creating a mammoth oil bubble.
We don’t write to indict these suspects, or to deny their
culpability, but we do have a hunch that there’s more to the story.
For if you pause, sit still, and meditate in the silence of your
inner chi. If you listen to your sixth sense and peer through
your third eye into the deep dark shadows that lie below the
surface… You may find that there’s something
mysterious…enigmatic…and sinister at work.
At first glance it’s hard to make out. Yet through the haze
you can sense that there’s something lurking. Something
puzzling…perplexing…and befuddling.
The same something that brought us the “New Era” dot.com bubble
and the “prices always go up” real estate bubble. It’s
something called cheap money. And it’s a gift from the Federal
Reserve.
Yet, to their chagrin, while they can give money away on the
cheap, they can’t control where it goes. And when it goes into
the oil prices, as opposed to the stock and housing prices, it’s
much less fun for Joe Blow and John Doe.
Endless Money Finite Natural Resources
Ben Bernanke began the current rate cutting cycle in September
2007 when oil prices were at a then exorbitant 80 per barrel.
In the following eight months, prices have jumped over 50-percent.
As you can see, the rapid price increases are as much a monetary
phenomenon as they are a geological or geopolitical phenomenon.
We like to keep things real simple around here: Cheap, debt
based, money is increasing exponentially. Natural resources
are not.
How high will prices go? Is $200 per barrel possible?
Is it likely?
We don’t know, but we’ll offer a guess…
When endless cheap money fully expresses its claim on finite
natural resources, the ultimate price run up should be
indescribable. Add a geopolitical supply disruption, or a
hurricane in the gulf, and we’re in for an atomic price explosion.
Sincerely,
M.N. Gordon
Great Depression Online
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