
Great Depression Online
Long Beach, CA
April 11, 2008
Inside This Issue You Will Discover…
*** Nearly A Trillion Dollars
*** Enthusiastically Ruining Themselves
*** The Shakeout Has Only Just Begun
*** And More
Nearly A Trillion Dollars
We learned this week that the price tag for the mortgage
windstorm has reached $945 billion. Veronica Smith, for AFP,
reports the destruction...
“The International Monetary Fund said Tuesday the worldwide
losses stemming from the
“The IMF, in a particularly stark report, said that falling US
housing prices and rising delinquencies on the residential mortgage
market could lead to losses of 565 billion dollars.
“Combined with other categories of loans originated and
securities issued in the United States related to commercial real
estate, the consumer credit market, and corporations ‘increases
aggregate potential losses to about 945 billion dollars,’ it said.”
Nearly a trillion dollars. Here one day. Gone the
next. But not without a consequence. Like a tornado - or
a traveling circus - when a financial whirlwind blows through town
it leaves a wake of debris, wreckage, and destruction.
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But this tornado's not just hitting one town – or country.
It's sweeping across the entire planet.
“‘The crisis is spreading beyond the US subprime market -- namely
to the prime residential and commercial real estate markets,
consumer credit, and the low- to high grade corporate credit
markets,’ the IMF said in releasing its semiannual Global Financial
Stability Report.”
“While the
Enthusiastically Ruining Themselves
The problem with a credit induced asset boom is that people
misconstrue it for a real boom. Suddenly, as if from the
heavens, money has appeared where it wasn't before. But this
money, while it looks the same as money created through real trade,
is a temporary illusion…its mirage lasts just long enough for people
to enthusiastically ruin themselves.
People borrow more money than they can possibly repay...and at
terms that would make a black market loan shark blush.
Speculators, blinded by the bright glimmer of glistening riches,
leverage up a house of cards that’s magnificently reckless.
Fund managers invest in seemingly safe asset backed securities
chasing a percentage or two of higher yield. And all this
activity further perpetuates the boom that was a farce to begin
with.
In
The Shakeout Has Only Just Begun
Nearly a trillion dollars in expected losses, we'll repeat.
How it all shakes out has only just begun.
Here's one example that happened earlier this week. Madlen
Read, AP Business Writer, explains...
“Washington Mutual Inc., one of the financial companies hurt by
investments in soured mortgages, said it is raising $7 billion by
selling a stake to a private equity investment group. But the
Seattle-based thrift also said it will lose $1.1 billion during the
first quarter, stash away $3.5 billion for loan losses and cut its
quarterly dividend to shareholders to a penny from 15 cents.”
The next bank to shake out may not have such a soft landing.
Sincerely,
M.N. Gordon
Great Depression Online
P.S. With real new growth comes real new wealth.
Now’s the time to make sure your investments are positioned to
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